Will Bitcoin be at least $81,000 on October 29?

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88%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 7YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending no later than August 7 shows the cumulative SNCF train delay is at least 112.0 hours, otherwise NO. The total sums the latest reported delay for each SNCF train that was 5 or more minutes late during that local day, counting each train only once. The authoritative source is Clutch's finalized archived total for that calendar day, computed from SNCF's open-data feed.
How markets are built and settled88%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending Aug 7, 2026 must be >=112.0 cumulative delay hours, summing each SNCF train's latest reported delay if >=5 minutes and counting each train once. Target day: local calendar day ending 2026-08-07. Observed value (from supplied data): Clutch finalized archived total = 158.3 cumulative delay hours since local midnight across 703 trains, counting each train once when 5+ minutes late; this covers the local calendar day ending at 2026-08-07 21:59 UTC and was finalized by Clutch at 2026-08-07 22:02 UTC. Comparison: 158.3 >= 112.0, so the market resolves YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledNot cool
With 126.8 hours already logged today, hitting 127 by the end of tomorrow seems likely. Expect more delays to accumulate overnight.

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