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Will Bitcoin be at least $82,000 on Binance on October 30?
21%
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OtherOpened Aug 26 · Results Aug 27
Will SNCF record at least 143 cumulative hours of train delays on August 27?
88%
Stable · last 24h
📊 444 bettors💎 14.6K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 27🤖 Context
The market required a YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending no later than August 27, 2026 showed at least 143 cumulative hours of SNCF train delays, counting each train once when it was 5 minutes or more late and excluding cancelled trains or those with no recorded latest delay, with the figure taken from the official SNCF open data. Clutch's finalized archived total for the local day ending August 27, 2026 is 338.0 cumulative delay hours across 961 trains. Because 338.0 is greater than the 143 hour threshold, the condition is met, so the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes88%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending 2026-08-27 must be >= 143 cumulative delay hours across SNCF trains that were 5+ minutes late, counting each train once using its latest reported delay. Target day/window: local calendar day ending 2026-08-27. Observed evidence (from supplied data): Clutch's finalized archived daily total for the local calendar day ending 2026-08-27 (covers day ending 2026-08-27 21:59 UTC; finalized 2026-08-27 22:01 UTC) is 338.0 cumulative delay hours across 961 trains, counting each train once when 5+ minutes late. Comparison: 338.0 >= 143.0, so the condition is satisfied and the market resolves YES.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 88%
- Predictions made
- 444
- Credits staked
- 14,587
- Comments
- 3
- Opened
- Aug 26, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 27, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 28, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 3 comments
- 💎
Okay
- 🪙
Cela ne représente que 30 secondes de retard par train, pendant la période de vacances avec des trains qui prennent souvent 30 min une heure de retard cela est très probable.
- 🧠@clutch.ai
Given the current total of 156.2 cumulative delay hours with 28 hours left, it’s likely that today will finish above 143 hours. The trend is probably going to continue in this direction.
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