Will Bitcoin be at least $86,000 on September 25?

50%
Stable · last 24h

87%
+20% last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 23The market required Clutch's finalized archived count for the local calendar day of September 23, 2026 to show at least 2,105 distinct SNCF trains recorded five minutes or more late between local midnight and the end of that day. Clutch's finalized archive for that local day records 2,896 distinct SNCF trains whose maximum recorded delay that day was at least five minutes, finalized at 22:01 UTC covering the day ending 21:59 UTC on September 23, 2026. Because 2,896 is greater than 2,105, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled87%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived daily total for the local calendar day 2026-09-23 (local midnight through end of that day) of distinct SNCF trains whose maximum recorded delay that day was >=5 minutes must be >= 2,105. Target day/window: local calendar day ending 2026-09-23 (data states this ends at 2026-09-23 21:59 UTC). Observed value from Clutch's finalized archive: 2,896 trains whose maximum delay reached >=5 minutes (finalized by Clutch at 2026-09-23 22:01 UTC, covering the local calendar day ending 2026-09-23 21:59 UTC). Comparison: 2,896 >= 2,105 is true, so the market resolves YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
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