Will SNCF have at least 1510 delayed trains on October 31?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day of Saturday, October 31, 2026 shows at least 1510 distinct SNCF trains had a maximum delay of 5 minutes or more that day, otherwise NO. • Each SNCF train is counted once using that train's maximum delay reached during the local calendar day (midnight to 23:59:59 local time). • Replacement coaches (cars TER, road buses) are not counted. Only trains count. • Source: Clutch's finalized archived total computed from SNCF official open-data (dataset 'horaires-sncf').

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 253 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

83%

Predictions made

253

Credits staked

11,967

Comments

6

Opened

Oct 30, 2026

Closes

Oct 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 1, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 83% and NO 17%, based on 253 predictions and 12K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will SNCF have at least 1510 delayed trains on October 31?” real-money betting?

No. “Will SNCF have at least 1510 delayed trains on October 31?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.