Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

76%
+7% last 24h

71%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 23Resolves YES if Kalshi's official market page for the Mochizuki vs Chan Round of 16 match shows status 'finalized' and Kalshi's official final outcome for that market is 'YES'. Resolves NO if that page shows status 'finalized' and the official final outcome is 'NO'. If the Kalshi page does not show status 'finalized' with an official 'YES' or 'NO' result, including statuses Determined, Disputed, Amended, Unavailable, or any finalized non-YES/NO settlement such as a fair-price $0.50, this market will remain unresolved. This market resolves by 7:10 PM UTC on August 6, 2026 according to Kalshi.
How markets are built and settled71%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Kalshi ticker KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26JUL23MOCCHA-MOC must show status 'finalized' and the official finalized result must be 'YES'. Target: the Kalshi official market page for that exact ticker (as of the supplied data). Observed values from supplied data: Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: both required conditions (status = 'finalized' AND result = 'YES') are satisfied by the supplied observation, so the market resolves YES. Decisive observation date: 2026-08-04 (date of the supplied Kalshi observation).
Source: kalshi.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledMochizuki’s got this! Chan won’t stand a chance. 😏

76%
+7% last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h

27%
Stable · last 24h

66%
Stable · last 24h

37%
Stable · last 24h

52%
Stable · last 24h
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