Will the Los Angeles Lakers beat the Golden State Warriors on Oct 30?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 4The rule uses the official 2026 US Open match results: it is yes if Serena Williams is listed as a competitor in at least one completed match in any event (women's singles, women's doubles, or mixed doubles), including retirements. The US Open's official match report shows Serena Williams partnered with Carlos Alcaraz in a mixed doubles match that finished with a recorded final score, Bencic/Cobolli def. Williams/Alcaraz 5-4(4), 4-1, dated August 25, 2026, and ATP and Yahoo Sports reporting corroborate the same completed result. Because she is listed in that completed match, the rule is satisfied and the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled90%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The US Open's official match report documents Serena Williams (paired with Carlos Alcaraz) playing a mixed-doubles match that finished with a recorded final score (Bencic/Cobolli def. Williams/Alcaraz 5-4(4), 4-1). That match is dated 2026-08-25 in the supplied evidence. ATP Tour and Yahoo Sports reporting in the evidence corroborate the same completed match/result. This establishes Serena was listed as a competitor in at least one completed match at the 2026 US Open.
Source: usopen.orgSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledThere's a strong chance she'll play; Serena has been known to tease returns. With the US Open starting soon, she'd miss her last shot at glory if she doesn't show up now.

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