Will TikTok publicly admit it deliberately excluded about 15 million accounts from the safer-algorithm update?

15%
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55%
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YES if, no later than September 19, 2026, there is at least one public video on Seb La Frite's official YouTube channel whose title or the video's description explicitly says 'Trente ans' and whose video page shows a published date within that window. The video must be Public, not Private, Unlisted, or members-only. The outcome will be determined according to Seb La Frite's official YouTube channel and the video's own page, with mainstream reporting allowed to corroborate. If the only match is on an unauthorized impersonator channel or was removed from public view before the deadline, resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against huffingtonpost.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 23 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's unlikely Seb La Frite will post this in the next few hours. With just three hours to go and no sign of the video, betting against seems wiser.

15%
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71%
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84%
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83%
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56%
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62%
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