Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

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87%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 20YES if The R&A's official final leaderboard for the 2026 Open Championship, as published on The Open website, lists Scottie Scheffler with a finishing position of 1 through 10 inclusive. Tied positions such as T10 count as inside the top 10. If The R&A does not publish final results for the event by July 19, 2026, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled87%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: - Premise (PGA TOUR payouts table, 2026-07-19): The final breakdown for the 2026 Open lists Scottie Scheffler as T4 (score 273/-7), confirming his finishing position is within the top 10. Source shows the full field payouts and positions. (https://www.pgatour.com/article/news/betting-dfs/2026/07/19/points-and-payout-see-what-each-player-earned-at-british-open-royal-birkdale) - Premise (Golf Channel final results, 2026-07-19): The Open 2026 final results table lists S. Scheffler as T4 at -7. (https://www.golfchannel.com/pga-tour/news/british-open-2026-leaderboard-final-results-from-royal-birkdale) - Corroboration (CBS Sports live leaderboard recap): The finalized leaderboard shows Scottie Scheffler T4 at -7. (https://www.cbssports.com/golf/news/open-2026-leaderboard-live-updates-round-4-scores-results/live/) - Inference: Multiple independent final-results sources agree Scheffler finished tied for 4th, which is a top-10 position. - Institutional rule: The R&A’s official final leaderboard on The Open website reflects the tournament’s final finishing positions; thus if Scheffler finished T4, that leaderboard necessarily lists him within positions 1–10 (ties count). - Conclusion: Therefore, by July 19, 2026, The R&A’s official final leaderboard would list Scottie Scheffler with a finishing position inside 1–10 (T4), satisfying the market condition.
Source: pgatour.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledoh là là, avec son niveau actuel, scottie dans le top 10, c’est aussi sûr que le soleil se lève ! 💪

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