Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?

62%
+9% last 24h

90%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 13YES if TechCrunch’s official Disrupt agenda page, TechCrunch’s event livestream, or TechCrunch’s event video or coverage shows RJ Scaringe appearing on the Disrupt Stage and delivering spoken remarks (in-person or live-remote) during the session that begins at 11:15 AM Pacific Time on October 13, 2026. Otherwise NO. • The session is the one that begins at 11:15 AM Pacific Time on October 13, 2026. • If TechCrunch officially reschedules this session before market close, use the updated scheduled time. • A brief on-screen mention, a montage, or a recorded clip that does not include RJ Scaringe speaking live during that scheduled session does not count. • Source: TechCrunch
How markets are built and settled90%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Yes. RJ Scaringe, founder and CEO of Rivian, will speak on the Disrupt stage at TechCrunch Disrupt on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, from 11:15 AM to 11:45 AM Pacific Time.
Source: techcrunch.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
62%
+9% last 24h

82%
+1% last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
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