Will players earn at least 112,000 💎 playing games on Clutch on October 29 (UTC)?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 7YES if Clutch's finalized archived daily total for the local calendar day no later than August 7, 2026 shows the cumulative delay hours across Renfe long-distance trains is at least 98.0 hours. The total counts each long-distance train once using its latest reported delay during the local day, includes only trains whose latest reported delay is at least 5 minutes, and converts minutes to hours (1 minute = 1/60 hour), with fractional hours included. The settlement value is Clutch's archived daily total computed from Renfe's official real-time data, independent public machine-readable data or reports may be used to corroborate, and exactly 98.0 hours resolves YES, otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settled45%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived daily total for the local calendar day 2026-08-07 must be at least 98.0 cumulative delay hours (each long-distance train counted once by its latest reported delay during the local day, included only if latest delay >=5 minutes). Observed settlement value from Clutch (finalized 2026-08-07 22:00 UTC, covering the local calendar day ending 2026-08-07 21:59 UTC): 135.2 cumulative delay hours across 502 trains. Comparison: 135.2 >= 98.0, so the condition is met -> YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith 106.7 cumulative delay hours already logged today, hitting 98 hours by tomorrow is likely. Renfe’s history suggests delays pile up; I'd bet on yes here.

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