Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 29YES if the official UEFA Champions League 2026–27 group‑stage draw places Real Madrid and Paris Saint‑Germain (PSG) together in the same four‑team group, otherwise NO. The market resolves according to UEFA's official group draw listing and official communications. If UEFA later amends the groups, the amended groups published by UEFA will be used to settle this market.
How markets are built and settled13%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
It's unlikely they'll be drawn together. With various possible group configurations, the odds are against both teams ending up in the same group, especially given the strong competition.

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