Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

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70%
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YES if Apple begins taking pre-orders on the calendar date September 11, 2026 (local date in Cupertino, US/Pacific) for at least one iPhone 18 Pro model, such that customers can place a pre-order via Apple’s Online Store, the Apple Store app, or Apple‑authorized carrier pages on that date. NO otherwise. Resolution will be based on Apple’s Online Store or Apple Newsroom posts, or consistent reporting by major independent outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Apple's history, they usually stick to their schedules. Expecting pre-orders to open on September 11; it's almost a given based on past patterns.

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25%
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80%
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53%
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40%
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80%
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