🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Oct 29 · Results Oct 30
Will Apple (AAPL) have a larger market cap than NVIDIA (NVDA) on October 30?
27%
-3% last 24h
465 bets · 19.4K credits7
Details →
TechOpened Aug 23 · Results Sep 12
Will pre-orders open for any iPhone 18 Pro on September 11?
38%
Stable · last 24h
📊 598 bettors💎 19.4K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 12🤖 Context
The market is a yes if Apple begins taking pre-orders on the calendar date September 11, 2026 (local date in Cupertino, US/Pacific) for at least one iPhone 18 Pro model via Apple’s Online Store, the Apple Store app, or Apple‑authorized carrier pages. Apple’s own Newsroom and independent outlets such as MacRumors and Forbes report that pre-orders instead began on Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 5 a.m. Pacific Time. Because pre-orders opened on September 12 rather than September 11, Apple did not begin accepting iPhone 18 Pro pre-orders on September 11, 2026, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No38%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Apple’s own newsroom and press release, plus multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence, state that iPhone 18 Pro pre-orders began on Saturday, September 12, 2026 (Apple’s newsroom says “Starting Saturday, September 12, at 5 a.m. PT”). MacRumors and Forbes likewise report a September 12 (5:00 a.m. PT) start. None of the supplied sources report pre-orders opening on September 11, 2026 (Pacific time). Therefore Apple did not begin accepting iPhone 18 Pro pre-orders on September 11, 2026 (Cupertino/Pacific).
Source: apple.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 38%
- Predictions made
- 598
- Credits staked
- 19,372
- Comments
- 4
- Opened
- Aug 23, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 11, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 12, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- apple.com, macrumors.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledRelated predictions
See all →🍎Tech·AppleCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will Apple make Siri AI available to users in any EU member state?
83%
Stable · last 24h
2792 bets · 63K credits49
Details →🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Nov 1 · Results Nov 3
Will Claude go down on exactly 5, 6, or 7 days?
26%
Stable · last 24h
1882 bets · 69.5K credits13
Details →🍎Tech·AppleCloses Nov 1
Will Apple or Apple Watch be named on a marketing authorization for blood‑pressure or hypertension monitoring?
73%
Stable · last 24h
513 bets · 18.8K credits5
Details →📱Tech·GadgetsCloses Nov 1
Will the Motorola Signature 27 be available to buy or pre‑order in the US?
39%
Stable · last 24h
448 bets · 11K credits2
Details →🍎Tech·AppleCloses Oct 30
Will iOS 27.2 be released to iPhone users?
93%
+1% last 24h
432 bets · 17.6K credits13
Details →