Will Bitcoin be at least $80,000 on Oct 31?

76%
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86%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 11The market required that the recorded daily maximum temperature in Paris on September 10, 2026 as reported by Open-Meteo be at least 21.0 °C for a yes. Open-Meteo shows a daily maximum of 21.4 °C in Paris on September 10, 2026. Because 21.4 °C meets the 21.0 °C threshold, the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled86%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Paris daily maximum temperature on 2026-09-10 (local Paris calendar day, midnight–midnight) >= 21.0 °C (inclusive), using Open-Meteo if available. Observed value from supplied Open-Meteo data: 2026-09-10 daily max = 21.4 °C (recorded, not forecast). Comparison: 21.4 °C ≥ 21.0 °C, so the condition is met -> YES.
Source: api.open-meteo.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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