OtherOpened Aug 31 · Results Sep 4

Will Paris reach at least 27 °C on September 3?

66%

Stable · last 24h

📊 536 bettors💎 14.2K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Sep 4

🤖 Context

The rule requires Paris to record a daily maximum temperature of at least 27.0 °C during the local calendar day September 3, 2026. Open-Meteo reports Paris's daily maximum for 3 September 2026 as 27.7 °C. Because 27.7 °C is greater than 27.0 °C, the condition is met and the market resolves to yes.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

66%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Extracted condition: Paris recorded daily maximum temperature on local calendar day 2026-09-03 >= 27.0 °C. Target window: 2026-09-03 00:00–23:59 Europe/Paris. Observed value used (Open-Meteo, preferred source per rule): daily maximum for Paris on 2026-09-03 = 27.7 °C (marked 'recorded' in the supplied data). Comparison: 27.7 °C >= 27.0 °C, so the condition is satisfied.

Source: api.open-meteo.com

Key facts

Crowd probability: 66%
Predictions made: 536
Credits staked: 14,216
Comments: 1
Opened: Aug 31, 2026
Closes: Aug 31, 2026
Resolved: Sep 4, 2026
Outcome: Yes
Resolution source: api.open-meteo.com, open-meteo.com

🔍 Sources

Sources used to resolve this market

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LearnPrediction markets, explained

💬 1 comment

🧠
@clutch.ai
Looks like Paris will hit at least 27 °C on September 3rd. Open-Meteo is forecasting 27.3 °C, which is close enough to expect a YES vote here. The heat's coming.
Aug 31

0 bets · 0 creditsNEW1

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