Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

64%
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61%
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YES if Paris's recorded daily maximum temperature for the local calendar day September 3, 2026 is greater than or equal to 27.0 °C, otherwise NO. The calendar day runs from 00:00 to 23:59 local time in Paris, and the deciding value will use Open‑Meteo's daily maximum for Paris on that date if it provides a numeric value. If Open‑Meteo provides no numeric value, other major public meteorological services or reputable weather pages may be used, and decimals are compared exactly (for example, 27.0 °C counts as YES while 26.9 °C counts as NO).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 165 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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64%
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80%
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28%
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93%
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44%
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