Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

60%
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48%
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YES if the recorded daily maximum temperature in Paris on August 28, 2026 is at least 25.0 °C, otherwise NO. Resolution follows the Open-Meteo daily maximum temperature value for Paris on that date. A recorded value exactly equal to 25.0 °C counts as YES.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 29, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 48%, based on 111 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNot likely. The forecast max is only 24.7°C, so hitting 25°C is a stretch. Even if there's a slight rise, it’s unlikely to reach the threshold in just three days.

60%
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61%
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72%
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79%
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56%
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45%
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