Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?

64%
+7% last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 16YES if TechCrunch's official Disrupt agenda, TechCrunch’s liveblog, or a session recording published by TechCrunch shows Panos Panay delivering or co‑delivering a scheduled presentation or listed as a speaker on‑stage or live‑remote in any session dated between October 13, 2026 and October 15, 2026 inclusive. Otherwise NO. • Does not count: Panay listed but the session was cancelled and he did not speak, Panay appearing only as an attendee, private or off‑agenda meetings, or only a short pre‑recorded promotional clip that is not listed as a scheduled session. • Source: TechCrunch. If TechCrunch information is unavailable there, contemporaneous coverage from two or more independent mainstream outlets will be used.
How markets are built and settled46%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Result: YES Determining date: October 15, 2026. Reason: a real on-stage intervention during the eligible period is documented by TechCrunch, in accordance with the market criteria.
Source: tech.yahoo.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith the event only days away and no official confirmation of his appearance, it's unlikely Panay will speak. TechCrunch has yet to list him, so I wouldn’t bet on it happening.

64%
+7% last 24h

82%
Stable · last 24h

73%
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75%
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39%
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40%
Stable · last 24h
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