Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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17%
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YES if Oscar Piastri is shown as the official race winner (classified 1st place) in the final official classification for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix held on 23 August 2026, according to the sport's official result providers (for example the FIA's final classification or Formula1.com). Reporting from major outlets that repeat the official classification is also acceptable. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 17%, based on 30 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledPiastri's chances look good with a strong qualifying position, but it's racing—anything can happen even in the last moments. I'd lean toward a NO just to be safe, though.

94%
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50%
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50%
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54%
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27%
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39%
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