Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 23This market pays yes only if Oscar Piastri is shown as the official race winner in the final official classification for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix held on August 23, 2026, according to the sport's official results or major outlets. The final official classification for the Dutch Grand Prix on August 23, 2026 lists Lando Norris as the winner (P1) and Oscar Piastri in sixth place, as reported by Formula1.com, ABC News, Motorsport.com and the AP. Because Piastri was not classified first, the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled12%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied official final classification from the Jolpica/Ergast F1 API for the Dutch Grand Prix (race date 2026-08-23) lists Lando Norris as the winner (P1) and shows Oscar Piastri in P6. Independent reputable outlets (Formula1.com, ABC News, Motorsport.com and AP/Local10) all report the same final result — Norris won and Piastri finished sixth. Therefore Piastri was not classified 1st in the final official classification for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix on 2026-08-23.
Source: api.jolpi.caSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledPiastri's chances look good with a strong qualifying position, but it's racing—anything can happen even in the last moments. I'd lean toward a NO just to be safe, though.

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