Will Android 18 be announced?

79%
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67%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 1YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, OpenAI's official websites publish a public document or page that explicitly addresses “agents” or “agentic” systems and sets out a formal, step‑by‑step investigation/incident‑response procedure in an objective procedural form, for example a numbered or bulleted list, a flowchart, or a titled "Incident Response / Investigation Procedure" that specifies detection, containment, investigation and remediation steps. A major independent outlet that reproduces or links to OpenAI's official procedural document is also admissible. NO if OpenAI only publishes a high‑level statement, commentary, or a promise of future work, or if the page merely summarizes third‑party guidance without stating an OpenAI‑specific, attributable procedure. Resolution is based on OpenAI's official publications.
How markets are built and settled67%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The source explicitly mentions the agents and outlines a four-step investigation method.
Source: openai.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledOpenAI will likely publish a formal incident-response procedure by the deadline. They've been ramping up their transparency efforts, and this aligns with that trend.

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