Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 21The market resolves to yes if Olympique de Marseille wins their Ligue 1 opening match on August 21, 2026 at the Stade Vélodrome. Multiple independent reports show Marseille won that match 4-0 at the Stade Vélodrome on August 21, 2026, with two goals from Amine Gouiri and goals by Keyliane Abdallah and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, and a Strasbourg red card. Because Marseille finished with more goals, the condition is met and the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled62%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent, credible sources in the supplied evidence report that Marseille beat Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 opener on 21 August 2026. Reuters reports a 4-0 Marseille victory (detailing two goals by Amine Gouiri, plus goals from Keyliane Abdallah and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, and a Strasbourg red card). FotMob's match page shows the full-time score as 4-0 at the Orange Vélodrome with the same goal events and timings. A beIN SPORTS highlights video/description uploaded the same day also states Marseille won 4-0. These independent match reports corroborate that Marseille finished with more goals than Strasbourg on 2026-08-21.
Source: reuters.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledI don't think so
OM is getting worse every year. Strasbourg is going to eat them up 😁
And no, OM is not going to win against us..💙🤍
No, the man is not going to win this match
No.

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