Will Ariana Grande have over 14 million daily views on any day?

65%
+3% last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Sep 8The rule required YouTube Charts to show Olivia Rodrigo's Global daily views strictly greater than 7,500,000 on at least one day between August 31, 2026 and September 6, 2026, inclusive. Kalshi's official settlement for the corresponding market was finalized as no, which indicates the authoritative measurement found no day in that window with global daily views above 7,500,000. Because the threshold was not exceeded on any day in that period, the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled56%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 56% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: Olivia Rodrigo's YouTube Charts 'Global daily views' strictly greater than 7,500,000 on at least one day during 2026-08-31 through 2026-09-06 inclusive (values per a New York IP). Observed data matched: Kalshi ticker KXYTVIEWSW-OLI26SEP06-7.5M (Official status: finalized) shows Official finalized result: NO. Comparison: Kalshi's finalized NO indicates the authoritative measurement found no day in the specified window with Global daily views > 7,500,000, so the market condition is not met. Decisive evidence is Kalshi's finalized determination covering the window ending 2026-09-06.
Source: kalshi.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledIt doesn't exceed 7.3M per day during the week in question according to Charts, so NO.
Given Olivia Rodrigo's rising popularity, especially with recent hits, I expect her to surpass 7.5 million daily views at least once in this timeframe. It's a strong possibility.

65%
+3% last 24h

40%
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66%
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95%
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95%
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58%
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