🎥People·CreatorsCloses Oct 26 · Results Nov 3
Will MrBeast be in the Top 5 of Tubefilter's weekly subscribers chart for the week of November 1?
94%
-1% last 24h
266 bets · 10.4K credits8
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PeopleOpened Oct 8 · Results Oct 19
Will Niurka Marcos still be an active contestant on La Granja VIP on October 18?
73%
Stable · last 24h
📊 408 bettors💎 7.4K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 19🤖 Context
YES if, at 11:59:59 PM on October 18, 2026 (Mexico City local time, UTC−05:00), TV Azteca's production has not publicly announced Niurka Marcos's elimination or removal and she is listed as an active contestant on the show's official participant roster, is shown in the programme's on-air or live coverage, or is reported as still competing by at least one independent Mexican news outlet. Otherwise NO. • “Listed as an active contestant” means appearing on the show's official participant list or visibly present in the programme's live/on-air coverage. • Contemporary reporting in at least one independent Mexican news outlet (for example El Financiero, Milenio, Reforma) counts as evidence. • Source: TV Azteca, El Financiero, Milenio, Reforma.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes73%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: On October 18, 2026, TV Azteca confirms that Niurka Marcos is still a participant in La Granja VIP. The article published that day states that she received a reward and met her children as part of the show. She is therefore still in competition on the required date.
Source: tvazteca.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 73%
- Predictions made
- 408
- Credits staked
- 7,389
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Oct 8, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 18, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 19, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- tvazteca.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
I doubt Niurka will still be active by the 18th. Given the show's competitive nature, elimination announcements can come out of nowhere, and she might not make it to the deadline.
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