Will TikTok creator Ava Ahavat (@ahavat_ava) post a new public TikTok video?

94%
Stable · last 24h

97%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, at 23:59 UTC on 1 October 2026, the YouTube channel MrBeast shows a strictly greater publicly visible subscriber total than every other YouTube channel, otherwise NO. If two or more channels display exactly the same top subscriber total at that instant, the market resolves NO. The primary source is official YouTube channel pages. If those pages do not show exact subscriber numbers for relevant channels, the market will use the highest widely reported subscriber totals from at least two independent public aggregators or reputable news outlets, for example SocialBlade, Wikipedia's public most-subscribed lists, AFP or Reuters.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against huffingtonpost.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 97%, based on 441 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled
94%
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96%
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82%
Stable · last 24h

40%
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73%
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27%
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