Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if FC Nantes issues an official statement, or if the LFP or multiple major independent news agencies (e.g. AFP, Reuters, L'Équipe) report that Michel Der Zakarian was dismissed or replaced as FC Nantes first-team head coach no later than September 1, 2026. Voluntary resignations announced by the club count as a removal. If FC Nantes' official roster still lists him as head coach after that date, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 69%, based on 51 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timing, it looks unlikely Der Zakarian will be removed before the deadline without an official statement. The club hasn't made any moves yet, so I doubt it will happen.

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50%
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32%
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62%
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33%
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