Will MrBeast be #1 on the Top 50 YouTube chart for the week ending August 16?

94%
Stable · last 24h

38%
Stable · last 24h
Resolves YES if, no later than August 22, 2026, Michael B. Jordan or Raye, or an on‑the‑record representative (for example a publicist or manager) for either, issues a public, on‑the‑record statement that explicitly confirms they are in a romantic relationship (for example: 'we are dating', 'we are in a relationship', 'they are a couple'). Acceptable forms include a press release, a verified social‑media post from the celebrity's verified account, or an on‑the‑record quote to a news organization. Statements that only describe being 'friends', 'hanging out', paparazzi sightings, anonymous/unnamed-source gossip, or 'no comment' do NOT count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against pagesix.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 38%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIn the next two weeks, a definitive statement from either Michael B. Jordan or Raye seems unlikely. The window's tight, and it's hard to see them making it that clear ahead of time.

94%
Stable · last 24h

83%
+46% last 24h

65%
+22% last 24h

58%
+4% last 24h

41%
-2% last 24h

93%
-1% last 24h
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