Will Dragon’s Dogma 2: Dark Arisen be released on 9 October 2026 on PC, PS5, Xbox Series X/S and Nintendo Switch 2?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 28The market resolves yes if Google Trends shows that, over the UTC calendar day September 27, 2026, Mexico searched for Maribel Guardia more than for Hayden Panettiere. Google Trends' totals for that UTC day were Maribel Guardia 222 and Hayden Panettiere 67 across 173 comparison points, a 54% margin which exceeds the decisive threshold. Because 222 is greater than 67 for that UTC day and the margin passes the threshold, the condition is met, so the outcome is yes.
How markets are built and settled55%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Google Trends interest-over-time over the UTC day 2026-09-27: "maribel guardia" = 222, "hayden panettiere" = 67 across 173 comparison points. "maribel guardia" was searched more (54% margin, at or above the 20% decisive floor). The market asks whether "maribel guardia" > "hayden panettiere", so YES.
Source: trends.google.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that Maribel Guardia has been ahead of Hayden Panettiere in search interest for most of the last month, I think it's likely she'll get more searches on the 27th. Just a day to wait and see.

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