Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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YES if the official final classification for the 2026 Pirelli Italian Grand Prix at Autodromo Nazionale Monza (race date September 6, 2026) lists Max Verstappen as the race winner (classified 1st). Otherwise NO. The market is resolved using the FIA's official final classification or the official Formula 1 results page, and that published classification, including any post‑race penalties or amendments, controls.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 25%, based on 35 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledMax Verstappen is the favorite here, and with the way he's been driving, I'd say he takes the win at Monza. It's going to be tough for anyone to beat him this year.

68%
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72%
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53%
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66%
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73%
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66%
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