Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

69%
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59%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jul 29YES if AS Monaco's official website or FC Nantes' official website publishes a press release or official news item on or before 12:00 on July 29, 2026 (UTC+02:00) explicitly saying Matthis Abline has joined or signed for AS Monaco, whether as a permanent transfer or a loan (phrasing like "signs", "joins", "completed transfer" or equivalent). Otherwise NO. If the only public evidence by the resolution time is social media posts without a press release on either club's official website, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled59%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The supplied evidence shows Matthis Abline was not signed by AS Monaco as of 12:00 on 2026-07-29 (UTC+02:00). A OneFootball article dated 29 July 2026 reports Abline was travelling to Monaco to undergo a medical and was expected to sign afterwards, indicating he had not yet completed a transfer by that date. AS Monaco’s own announcement in the supplied evidence is dated 30 July 2026 (AS Monaco published a club statement saying Abline had signed a five-year contract), and multiple news agencies in the evidence report the signing on 30 July 2026. Taken together, the official club confirmation and contemporaneous reports place the signing on 2026-07-30 (after the July 29 12:00 deadline), so the answer is NO.
Source: asmonaco.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledabline to monaco? probably not happening. just another rumor to keep us entertained until the real transfers kick in. 😂

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