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Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
31%
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SportsOpened Sep 8 · Results Sep 13
Will Matthew Brennan win any stage of the 2026 Vuelta after Stage 16?
25%
Stable · last 24h
📊 112 bettors💎 3.7K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 13🤖 Context
The market required Matthew Brennan to be shown as the official winner of any 2026 Vuelta a España stage numbered greater than 16 in the race organiser's or the UCI's published stage results. La Vuelta's official route included Stage 17 on 9 September 2026, and multiple reputable reports, including The Guardian and Sporting News/Yahoo, state that Matthew Brennan won Stage 17 in Seville on 9 September 2026. Because those published reports show him as the winner of a stage after Stage 16, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes25%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 75% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Premise (official route): La Vuelta 2026 has stages beyond 16, including Stage 17 on 2026-09-09 (https://www.lavuelta.es/en/overall-route) → therefore a stage with number greater than 16 exists and occurred before now. Premise (news report): The Guardian reports Matthew Brennan won the 17th stage in Seville on 2026-09-09 (https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2026/sep/09/vuelta-espana-matthew-brennan-fifth-stage-win-cycling) → therefore Brennan is the winner of a stage with number >16. Cross-check: The Sporting News/Yahoo schedule lists Stage 17 winner as Matthew Brennan (https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/where-to-watch-vuelta-a-espana-2026-full-schedule-start-times-channel-live-stream-for-cycling-stage-race-195401142.html) → independent confirmation. Conclusion: Yes, Matthew Brennan is the official winner of at least one post-16 stage (Stage 17).
Source: lavuelta.esKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 25%
- Predictions made
- 112
- Credits staked
- 3,670
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 8, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 9, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 13, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- lavuelta.es, theguardian.com, sports.yahoo.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
Brennan hasn't shown enough strength to win a stage beyond 16 in this tour. The final stretch won't favor him, so it's unlikely he'll be on the podium.
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