🏀Sports·NBACloses Oct 31
Will the Los Angeles Lakers beat the Golden State Warriors on Oct 30?
75%
-1% last 24h
1398 bets · 51.4K credits14
Details →
SportsOpened Aug 28 · Results Aug 30
Will Mariano Navone beat Novak Djokovic in the US Open men's singles Round of 128?
15%
Stable · last 24h
📊 483 bettors💎 14.4K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 30🤖 Context
The market's rule required Kalshi to finalize ticker KXATPMATCH-26AUG30NAVDJO-NAV as yes, meaning Mariano Navone is recorded as the winner of the Navone vs Djokovic match in the 2026 US Open men's singles Round of 128 and the win occurred after at least one ball was played. Kalshi's official record shows that the ticker was finalized with the result yes, and no finalization date was provided. Because the ticker was finalized as yes under that rule, the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes15%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 85% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: Kalshi ticker KXATPMATCH-26AUG30NAVDJO-NAV must be finalized by Kalshi with an official finalized result of YES (meaning Kalshi records Mariano Navone won the Navone vs Djokovic 2026 US Open Men's Singles Round of 128 match and the win occurred after at least one ball was played). Target: the Kalshi finalization of that specific ticker. Observed value(s) from supplied Kalshi data: Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: the observed official finalized result is YES, which exactly satisfies the market's resolution condition, so the market resolves YES. The supplied data does not include a date for the finalization or the match, so decisiveEvidenceDate is set to null.
Source: kalshi.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 15%
- Predictions made
- 483
- Credits staked
- 14,381
- Comments
- 3
- Opened
- Aug 28, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 31, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- kalshi.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 3 comments
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