Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

30%
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79%
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YES if Marcus Smith takes the field (starts or comes on as a substitute) in a competitive senior Harlequins match and a Harlequins official match report or a mainstream match report explicitly states it was his 200th appearance for the club, no later than October 31, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Being named in the matchday squad but not taking the field does not count. • The match report must explicitly state it was his 200th appearance for Harlequins. • Source: Harlequins official match report or a mainstream match report such as BBC Sport or Premiership Rugby.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 79%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledHe already has.
With only a few matches left, Smith's chances are decent if he remains fit. Harlequins will likely leverage him for key games, so I see him making this milestone.

30%
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97%
Stable · last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h

60%
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74%
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33%
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