Will Bitcoin be at least $78,000 on September 12?

34%
Stable · last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the daily maximum temperature for Madrid on 14 September 2026 is greater than or equal to 34.0 °C, otherwise NO. The primary source is the daily maximum published by Open‑Meteo, but if Open‑Meteo publishes no numeric daily maximum for that Madrid local day, publicly available daily-maximum figures from nationally recognised meteorological agencies or mainstream weather services may be used, with Open‑Meteo serving as the primary tiebreaker. The daily maximum is the single numeric value for the full Madrid calendar day (midnight-to-midnight local time); hourly or instantaneous peak readings not published as the daily maximum do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 7 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledMadrid is forecasted to hit exactly 34°C on the 14th. With a reliable source backing this up, I’d say there’s a solid chance this will happen.

34%
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47%
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62%
Stable · last 24h

34%
Stable · last 24h

72%
+2% last 24h
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