Will Bitcoin be at least $83,500 on September 26?

58%
Stable · last 24h

84%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the recorded daily maximum temperature in Madrid on 28 September 2026 is at least 24.0 °C, otherwise NO. The preferred primary evidence is the Open‑Meteo daily summary for Madrid on that date. If the Open‑Meteo record is unavailable or clearly missing on the resolution date, other reputable meteorological services such as Spain's AEMET or major international weather services may be used. Only the officially reported daily maximum for the named calendar day in Madrid (local time) counts; sub‑daily unofficial anecdotes or retrospective reanalyses published after the resolution date do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 29, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 84%, based on 22 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThey forecast highs of up to 26 degrees for that day. Let's go for the YES.
With a forecast of 24.3 °C for September 28, Madrid is likely to hit the 24 °C mark. The conditions look good, so I’d bet on a warm day ahead.

58%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

30%
Stable · last 24h
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