Will at least 34,000 bets be placed on Clutch on October 28 (UTC)?

34%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 9YES if the recorded daily maximum temperature in Madrid on 8 August 2026 is at least 36.0 °C, according to Open-Meteo's daily record for Madrid. Otherwise NO. If Open-Meteo is not available, other public meteorological reports that explicitly state Madrid's daily maximum for that date may be used.
How markets are built and settled81%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Open‑Meteo's numeric daily maximum temperature for Madrid on 2026-08-08 must be ≥ 36.0 °C. Target date/window: 2026-08-08 (Saturday). Observed value (from supplied Open‑Meteo daily record): temperature_2m_max = 37.5 °C for Saturday 2026-08-08 (marked recorded). Comparison: 37.5 °C ≥ 36.0 °C → condition met → YES.
Source: api.open-meteo.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith only three days to go, Madrid will need to hit 36 °C on the 8th to resolve yes. Given the current forecast trends, hitting that mark seems plausible, so I’m betting on yes.

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