Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Nov 13YES if Manchester United or The Football Association (The FA) publicly announce no later than November 13, 2026 that Manchester United defender Lisandro Martínez has been disciplined by being suspended from selection for at least one senior first-team match or has been fined. Otherwise NO. • The announcement must be explicit, on-the-record, and name Lisandro Martínez. Public charges, investigations, warnings, or private/internal sanctions do not count. • Source: Manchester United or The Football Association (The FA). Mainstream reporting (for example BBC, Reuters, Sky Sports) is acceptable for corroboration.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 29%, based on 126 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith about a month until the deadline, given the scrutiny around disciplinary actions, it's likely Manchester United will announce some form of discipline for Martínez. Expect a statement soon.

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