Will “Toy Story 5” gross over $250 million worldwide by August 31, 2026?

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49%
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YES if the first reading of Apple Music Spain's 'Most Played' songs feed observed at or after 10:00 UTC on August 19, 2026 lists the track titled 'LA GRACIOSA' by Quevedo & Elvis Crespo at overall position #1 on the chart, otherwise NO. If the first observed feed shows multiple items tied for position 1, the market resolves YES if any tied item has a title matching 'LA GRACIOSA' (match case-insensitively and ignoring leading/trailing whitespace and diacritics) and an artist field that contains both 'Quevedo' and 'Elvis Crespo' in any order. If the first observed feed contains no valid ranked list, the first subsequent publicly available Apple Music Spain 'Most Played' chart reading or mainstream music report published at or after 10:00 UTC on August 19, 2026 will be used to decide.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 17, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against rss.marketingtools.apple.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 49%, based on 6 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that 'LA GRACIOSA' is currently #1 and the market closes soon, it’s likely to stay there until the 19th. I’d bet on it.

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68%
Stable · last 24h

84%
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