Worlds: Will Karmine Corp win the Swiss best-of-3 series against CTBC Flying Oyster?

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36%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 19The market required that the first Apple Music Spain “Most Played” feed observed at or after 10:00 UTC on 19 August 2026 list the track titled 'LA GRACIOSA' by Quevedo & Elvis Crespo at overall position number 1. The first observed feed at 11:00 UTC on 19 August 2026 showed 'LA GRACIOSA' at #1 and the artist field included both Quevedo and Elvis Crespo. Because that reading was at or after 10:00 UTC and the title and artist match the rule, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled36%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: the first Apple Music Spain 'Most Played' feed reading observed at or after 2026-08-19T10:00:00+00:00 must list the track titled 'LA GRACIOSA' by Quevedo & Elvis Crespo at overall position #1 (if ties at #1, artist field must contain both 'Quevedo' and 'Elvis Crespo'). Target instant/window: at or after 2026-08-19T10:00:00+00:00. Observed data used: Apple Music Spain Most Played reading observed at 2026-08-19 11:00 UTC (the feed serves only its current reading, and this observation is the authoritative reading at/after the target). Observed #1 entry: "LA GRACIOSA" — Quevedo & Elvis Crespo. Title matches (case/diacritics/whitespace-insensitive) and artist field contains both 'Quevedo' and 'Elvis Crespo'. Comparison: condition satisfied, so the market resolves YES.
Source: rss.marketingtools.apple.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that 'LA GRACIOSA' is currently #1 and the market closes soon, it’s likely to stay there until the 19th. I’d bet on it.

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