Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if, in the official 2026 drivers' championship standings published after the 2026 Heineken Dutch Grand Prix has been officially classified (race held on 23 August 2026), Kimi Antonelli is listed as the championship leader (ranked P1 by total points) according to the FIA's published standings. Apply the FIA's published tie‑break procedure if two or more drivers are level on points. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 5 predictions.
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