Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the official results for the Leadville Trail 100 MTB held on August 15, 2026 list Keegan Swenson as the first-place finisher in the event's top men's (Elite/Pro) category, otherwise NO. Resolution will use official results published by the race organisers (Life Time / Life Time Grand Prix) or the event's official results page, with major cycling outlets accepted as corroboration. If the men's 100-mile event is cancelled or not held on August 15, 2026 the market resolves NO, and if official results record joint winners the market resolves YES if Swenson is included among them.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against velo.outsideonline.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 63%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledSwenson's got a solid chance, but the competition is fierce and he's not guaranteed a win. If he pulls through, it could be close, but I'm skeptical given the field this year.

94%
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37%
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59%
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39%
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92%
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28%
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