Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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85%
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YES if Kang‑in Lee makes at least one appearance (starts or is substituted on) for Atlético de Madrid’s senior first team in an official competitive match — LaLiga, Copa del Rey, Spanish Super Cup, or UEFA club competitions — no later than August 31, 2026, otherwise NO. Preferred resolution sources are Atlético de Madrid’s official match report or LaLiga’s official match record, though contemporaneous reporting by major sports outlets (for example MARCA, EFE, Reuters) is also acceptable. Friendlies, preseason, youth or reserve matches, or being named on the bench without entering the field do not count, and appearances in a match later voided by the competition organiser do not count either.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against marca.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 85%, based on 18 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledKang-in Lee is making the roster and should play at least a match before the deadline. Atlético needs depth; he’ll get his chance soon enough.

94%
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74%
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66%
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53%
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62%
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