Will DeepSeek's market share be above 23.5%?

41%
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75%
Stable · last 24h
YES if John Ternus appears on-screen and speaks on camera during Apple's official iPhone keynote livestream or the official Apple event video/replay on September 9, 2026, otherwise NO. Photos, slide captions, silent clips, or an off-camera voice not visually attributed to him do not count. If the scheduled September 9, 2026 keynote is canceled or postponed and no keynote takes place that day, the market resolves NO, and resolution sources are Apple's official event livestream/replay and Apple Newsroom, corroborated by mainstream tech coverage such as TechCrunch, The Verge, or Reuters.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven his role at Apple, it's highly likely Ternus will speak at the iPhone event. The keynote format typically includes key figures addressing the audience directly.

41%
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34%
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77%
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40%
Stable · last 24h

81%
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82%
Stable · last 24h
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