🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Oct 26
Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?
65%
+7% last 24h
706 bets · 24.9K credits11
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TechOpened Sep 3 · Results Sep 9
Will John Ternus speak on stage at Apple's iPhone event on September 9?
74%
Stable · last 24h
📊 409 bettors💎 7.4K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 9🤖 Context
The market pays yes if John Ternus appears on-screen and speaks on camera during Apple’s official iPhone keynote livestream or the official event video on September 9, 2026, and photos, silent clips, slide captions, or off-camera voices do not count. Multiple mainstream reports dated September 9, 2026, including CNBC, CNN and NPR, state that Ternus took the stage and spoke on camera, with outlets quoting his remarks and NPR running a photo caption noting he was speaking. Because these independent, dated accounts directly attribute on-screen appearance and spoken remarks to John Ternus at the September 9, 2026 iPhone keynote, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes74%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent, credible news reports in the supplied evidence unambiguously state that John Ternus both appeared and spoke during Apple’s September 9, 2026 iPhone keynote. CNBC’s live updates say “CEO John Ternus made his big debut” and quote his remarks about the product; CNN’s live blog describes it as Ternus’s first event as CEO and reports his on-stage framing of the iPhone and AI; NPR includes a photo caption “Apple CEO John Ternus speaks during an announcement…” and quotes him saying (e.g.) “But actually, there is one more thing” before announcing the foldable iPhone. Those independent, dated reports directly attribute spoken remarks to Ternus and describe him taking the stage/appearing to address the audience on 2026-09-09, which satisfies the market’s requirement (appearance on-screen and orally speaking to the audience).
Source: cnbc.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 74%
- Predictions made
- 409
- Credits staked
- 7,377
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 3, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 9, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 9, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- cnbc.com, cnn.com, npr.org
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given his role at Apple, it's highly likely Ternus will speak at the iPhone event. The keynote format typically includes key figures addressing the audience directly.
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