⚽Sports·FootballCloses Oct 27 · Results Oct 28
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
29%
+1% last 24h
7543 bets · 348.8K credits178
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SportsOpened Aug 8 · Results Aug 8
Will Jessica Pegula win the Round of 16 match vs Shnaider?
85%
Stable · last 24h
📊 390 bettors💎 12.1K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 8🤖 Context
YES if Kalshi finalizes the corresponding market with a final settlement of YES, meaning Jessica Pegula is recorded as the match winner in official post-match results. Otherwise NO. Use the WTA's official results to verify the match winner, with corroboration allowed from reputable sports outlets such as ESPN or Reuters.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No85%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 85% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES only if Kalshi ticker KXWTAMATCH-26AUG08PEGSHN-PEG is marked 'finalized' with a final settlement of YES (i.e., Kalshi records Jessica Pegula as the match winner). Target observation: the Kalshi ticker's official finalized result. Observed value (from supplied Kalshi data): Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: NO. Comparison: the final settlement is NO (not YES), therefore under the market's rule the correct resolution is NO.
Source: kalshi.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 85%
- Predictions made
- 390
- Credits staked
- 12,098
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 8, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 8, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 8, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- kalshi.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 5 💎
Pegula should win comfortably; her current form is strong, and Shnaider hasn't shown the same level. Expect a decisive result in her favor.
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