Will Heidi Klum post a photo or video revealing her Halloween costume on October 31?

96%
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77%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 27YES if at least one photograph clearly showing Jason Segel and Kayla Radomski at their wedding ceremony in the Huntington Library Botanical Gardens in Pasadena is published between 3:31 PM UTC on October 19, 2026 and no later than October 26, 2026, otherwise NO. • The photo must be published in a public post on a verified Instagram or X/Twitter account owned by Jason Segel or Kayla Radomski, or on an official website maintained by either person. • A mainstream independent news article that publishes such a wedding photo and attributes it to the couple or their representative also counts. • Posts published before 3:31 PM UTC on October 19, 2026 do not count. If the couple's verified accounts are deactivated or set to private during the window, those accounts cannot be used to settle the market but independent news reporting as described still counts. • Source: the couple's verified social accounts, their official websites, or mainstream news outlets.
How markets are built and settled77%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The OK! article is a piece of evidence published within the allowed window, featuring wedding photos attributed notably to Kayla Radomski's Instagram account.
Source: people.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline and that they are both public figures, it's likely we'll see at least one wedding photo posted by them or via a trusted outlet. I'm betting YES on this one.

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