Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 16The rule said that after Round 2 either the PGA Tour official scoreboard or ESPN's round-by-round leaderboard must list J. Knapp among the players advancing to Round 3. ESPN's Round 2 leaderboard shows J. Knapp tied for 9th at five under par, and outlets including Golfweek and Yahoo/USA TODAY report there is no cut this week and the remaining field of 68 players will advance to the weekend. Because ESPN lists Knapp on the Round 2 leaderboard and the tournament uses no cut so all 68 players move on, J. Knapp advanced to Round 3, yes.
How markets are built and settled71%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied leaderboard and news pages show J. Knapp on the Round 2 leaderboard and multiple independent outlets state there is no cut at this event. ESPN's Round 2 leaderboard lists J. Knapp (J. Knapp) tied for 9th at -5 after Round 2. Golfweek (USA TODAY) and Yahoo/USA TODAY explicitly report that there is no cut this week and that the remaining field (68 players) will all advance to the weekend. Those independent, dated reports establish that J. Knapp advanced to play in Round 3 after Round 2.
Source: espn.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledIt’s unlikely Knapp makes the cut. With just two rounds to go and given the way he’s been playing, he’s more likely to be on the sidelines after round 2.

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