Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Iga Świątek is listed as one of the two finalists in the official WTA 1000 Toronto draw/results published by the WTA or the tournament's official results page, showing she advanced from the semifinal against Elina Svitolina on August 12, 2026. A walkover, retirement, default, or other administrative decision that records her as advancing counts as YES. If the semifinal is not played and no finalist is declared, or if neither player is recorded as advancing, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 77%, based on 68 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIga Świątek is quite capable of taking this semifinal against Svitolina. Given her track record, I’d bet on her making it to the final without too much trouble.

94%
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34%
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44%
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58%
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82%
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84%
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