🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Oct 8 · Results Oct 9
Will Dragon’s Dogma 2: Dark Arisen be released on 9 October 2026 on PC, PS5, Xbox Series X/S and Nintendo Switch 2?
94%
+4% last 24h
219 bets · 9.4K credits5
Details →
CultureOpened Sep 20 · Results Sep 30
Will 'Hate That I Made You Love Me' by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
44%
Stable · last 24h
📊 494 bettors💎 13.1K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 30🤖 Context
The market required MTV to officially name 'Hate That I Made You Love Me' by Ariana Grande as Video of the Year during the show on September 27, 2026 for a YES. On September 27, 2026 MTV's official winners announcement did not name that video and instead announced 'The Fate of Ophelia' by Taylor Swift as Video of the Year. Because the named video was not announced as the winner on the scheduled date, the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No44%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: whether the video 'Hate That I Made You Love Me' by Ariana Grande was officially announced as winner of Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards on the show scheduled for 2026-09-27. Observations matched: Polymarket mirrored market for the exact question "Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?" — resolution status: resolved, closed: yes, outcome prices: Yes=0, No=1 (i.e., Polymarket resolved this market to NO). For additional context the Polymarket market "Will ‘The Fate of Ophelia’ by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?" is resolved Yes=1, indicating a different winner was resolved as Yes. Comparison: because this contract resolves identically to the mirrored Polymarket market and that market resolved to NO, the correct resolution here is NO.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 44%
- Predictions made
- 494
- Credits staked
- 13,105
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Sep 20, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 27, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 30, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip, polymarket.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 🔥
No
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
Ariana Grande's video is likely to miss out. It's a strong category this year, and the competition is tough, which makes it hard for this track to clinch the title.
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