Will Max Verstappen win the US Grand Prix in Austin on October 25?

32%
-1% last 24h

60%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Oct 20YES if no later than October 20, 2026, a publicly available, on-the-record announcement or an official entry or start list from British Cycling, Team GB, the event organiser, or the UCI names a specific individual as the replacement who will take Matt Richardson's place in Great Britain's squad for the World Track Cycling Championships, otherwise NO. • Announcements published before 8:00 PM UTC on October 12, 2026 do not count. • A generic statement that a replacement "may be named" or naming someone only as a "reserve" without saying they replace Richardson does not count. • Source: British Cycling, Team GB, the event organiser, or the UCI.
How markets are built and settled60%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 60% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: No runner has been named to replace Matt Richardson in the Great Britain team: initially made up of 20 runners (on October 7, 2026), the official selection from British Cycling competed in the World Championships in Shanghai (October 14-18, 2026) with only 19 runners after his withdrawal.
Source: britishcycling.org.ukSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the tight timeline and the need for a specific announcement, it's unlikely they'll name a replacement for Richardson before the deadline. I'm betting on NO here.

32%
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97%
Stable · last 24h

97%
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