Will Max Verstappen win the US Grand Prix in Austin on October 25?

33%
Stable · last 24h

12%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Oct 21The market required Kalshi to finalize its Onclin vs Struff match market as yes, meaning it had to show Gauthier Onclin won the 2026 ATP Brussels Round of 16 match and that at least one ball was played. Kalshi's official final status for that market is finalized and the finalized result is no. Because Kalshi finalized the market as no rather than yes, the condition for a yes was not met, so this market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled12%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Kalshi ticker KXATPMATCH-26OCT21ONCSTR-ONC must be 'finalized' with an explicit YES result indicating Gauthier Onclin won the 2026 ATP Brussels Round of 16 match (after at least one ball was played). Target: the Kalshi market's official finalized result for that exact ticker. Observed (from supplied Kalshi data): Official status = finalized; Official finalized result = NO. Comparison: the official result is NO, not YES, so the market resolves NO (it mirrors Kalshi's finalized NO).
Source: kalshi.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
33%
Stable · last 24h

97%
Stable · last 24h

97%
Stable · last 24h

66%
+4% last 24h

24%
Stable · last 24h

77%
+1% last 24h
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