Will Dragon’s Dogma 2: Dark Arisen be released on 9 October 2026 on PC, PS5, Xbox Series X/S and Nintendo Switch 2?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 30This market resolves yes if the gamescom organisers or major news outlets reported that gamescom 2026 included at least one physical exhibition hall or other on-site venue under the gamescom 2026 brand that was open to the general public, either ticketed or publicly advertised as open to visitors, on at least one calendar day between 26 August 2026 and 30 August 2026 inclusive. The official gamescom site and multiple independent outlets reported an on-site event at Koelnmesse in Cologne with physical exhibition halls, a sold-out show floor and public-facing programming running from 26 to 30 August 2026, and Baltic Review specifically notes the main public event opened on Wednesday 26 August with the city festival on 29 and 30 August. Those reported facts meet the rule, so the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled91%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent sources (including the official gamescom site and independent news outlets) report that gamescom 2026 was held on-site in Cologne at Koelnmesse with physical exhibition halls and in-person visitors during 26–30 August 2026, and that parts of the event were open to the general public. The official gamescom pages record a sold-out show floor and in-person attendance and describe on-site public programming; Baltic Review explicitly states the main public event opened on Wednesday 26 August and notes the free gamescom city festival on 29–30 August; DW, TechTimes and other outlets likewise report the event running 26–30 August with public-facing halls/activities and ticketed/public access. These corroborating accounts establish that at least one physical gamescom 2026 venue was open to the general public for at least one calendar day in the 2026-08-26 to 2026-08-30 window.
Source: gamescom.globalSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledI really think so

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