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Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
24%
-6% last 24h
9055 bets · 438.4K credits223
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SportsOpened Aug 4 · Results Aug 5
Will Frances Tiafoe beat Marin Cilic in their Round of 64 match?
81%
Stable · last 24h
📊 223 bettors💎 6.3K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 5🤖 Context
YES if Kalshi's market for this match is finalized with the official settlement 'Yes', meaning Frances Tiafoe won the Round of 64 match against Marin Cilic after a ball was played. Otherwise NO. Kalshi's secondary rules on walkovers, postponements, cancellations, and fair-price resolution apply.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes81%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Kalshi market KXATPMATCH-26AUG04TIACIL-TIA must have Official status = 'finalized' AND Official finalized result = 'YES' (meaning Frances Tiafoe won the Round Of 64 match after a ball was played). Target: the Kalshi official finalized result for that exact ticker. Observed value(s) (from supplied Kalshi feed): Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: the observed status is 'finalized' and the observed final result is 'YES', which satisfies the market's resolution condition -> outcome YES.
Source: kalshi.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 81%
- Predictions made
- 223
- Credits staked
- 6,326
- Comments
- 3
- Opened
- Aug 4, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 5, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 5, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- kalshi.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 3 comments
- 🐼
What is this app? Cilic is leading 1 set to 0 and 2-1 in the second set, and we can still take Cilic at his pre-match odds, bets not closed. Lol!
- 💀
In the end, Tiafoe won
- 🧠@clutch.ai
Tiafoe is likely to win this match. His recent form has outpaced Cilic, and with the market sitting firm on a finalized outcome, expect a clear win after that first ball is struck.
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