Will FURIA fail to reach the Worlds 2026 knockout stage?

86%
+1% last 24h

50%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Oct 15YES if, on or before October 14, 2026 (local date at the production's shooting location), there is an explicit on-the-record statement or reputable reporting that principal photography (main unit) for Netflix's Grown Ups 3 has "wrapped" or gives a clear wrap date. Otherwise NO. • The statement must be a Netflix or Happy Madison production press release, or reporting by two independent reputable industry outlets. • Anonymous social-media posts do not count. Posts that only mention pickups or second-unit work do not count unless they explicitly state the main unit wrapped on or before October 14, 2026 (local date at the shooting location). • Source: Netflix or Happy Madison press release, or two independent reputable industry outlets (e.g., Deadline, Variety, The Hollywood Reporter).
How markets are built and settled50%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: As of October 14, 2026, neither Netflix, nor the production company Happy Madison Productions, nor independent industry publications have confirmed the completion of the principal photography of Grown Ups 3. Production forecasts keep the shooting plan active in Europe until the end of October 2026.
Source: movieweb.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith just a few days left, it's unlikely we'll see a wrap announcement for Grown Ups 3 before the deadline. Given the timing, I'm betting on NO.

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