Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

29%
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75%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 18The market required an official club announcement, a league registration, or confirmation from major wire services or multiple mainstream outlets showing that by August 17, 2026 Ferran Torres was registered with a club other than FC Barcelona. On August 15, 2026 Paris Saint-Germain and FC Barcelona announced an agreement for Torres, and major outlets including Reuters and the Associated Press reported that PSG had signed him. Those official announcements and same‑day agency reports meet the resolution rule, so the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled75%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence report that Ferran Torres was transferred from FC Barcelona to Paris Saint‑Germain and signed a contract that was announced on 15 August 2026. Reuters (Deccan Herald) and the AP (via CBS17) both report PSG signing Torres and Barcelona and PSG announcing the agreement; Hypebeast and BarcaBlaugranes (which links the FC Barcelona announcement) likewise report the move. Those independent, same‑day reports establish that by 2026-08-17 Torres had left FC Barcelona and been registered with a club other than Barcelona (PSG).
Source: cbs17.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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